The market is fluid and is moving constantly, never more so than now. The big end of town appears busy with deals galore, to quote James Thomson in the AFR on August 26th “M&A is back in a big way.”
We established in lesson #2 that if a business is approached by a potential buyer (Gorilla) that the interest must be qualified and handled efficiently leading to an early indicative offer in writing, based upon the provision of adequate but limited information. We also determined that such a buyer, having knocked on your door is likely to have knocked on quite a few other doors, and is probably running a broader process.
We established in my last blog that selling your business is likely to involve a major mismatch in terms of the scale and size of the likely buyer and that getting in the ring with them by yourself and without a clear strategy might not work out so well.
The shareholders of established private companies in Australia, many of whom will be seeking an exit in the next ten years, ought to be aware of certain realities around deal doing and the market, I am going to unpack some of these over the next series of posts, which I hope people might find helpful.
According to the recent Dealmakers report the global trend in M&A is down, by number of deals -15% and by value -18%. This is driven by the “fears of recession, rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties.”
There’s always something!
I’m sure everyone has felt it – that gentle squeeze on our purses and wallets. Whether it is at the supermarket or the petrol pump, the café or the corner store, inflation seems to be hitting our hip-pocket nerve once more.
Over nearly four decades advising business owners, one pattern stands out more than any other. The best decisions — the ones that genuinely changed the trajectory of a business — were rarely made by spreadsheet alone.
Australia's commercial cleaning sector is a significant and growing part of the economy. According to IBISWorld, the sector generates over $20 billion in annual revenue, is supported by more than 44,000 businesses, and employs over 209,000 people nationwide.
The Mining Support Services sector is a major part of Australia’s business landscape - worth $14.4 billion in 2025 and employing 38,000 people. The sector as a whole is flat with IBIS predicting modest growth of 1.5% over the next five years, following a recent decline. Volatility remains high, driven by commodity price fluctuations.
We recently facilitated the acquisition of IUP by Ambor Structures — and we think this deal says something important, not just about two companies finding a good fit, but about the broader conditions shaping mid-market M&A activity right now.
The deal market remains in good shape as we move further into 2026, despite what most people are predicting as the short-term disruption resulting from the recent geopolitical event in the Middle East.
The Australian skincare sector is booming. Estimated at between $1.65 billion and $3.6 billion depending on the measure, the market is being driven by growing consumer demand for natural and organic ingredients, with Gen Z leading the charge on transparency and sustainability